How is an accrual estimated when the invoice hasn't arrived?

Short answer

From the best evidence available for the period: contract or PO terms, usage or receiving records, or recent invoices from the same vendor.

An accrual records a cost incurred in the period before the bill arrives. Under accrual accounting, accrued expenses belong in the month the goods or services were received, so the amount is estimated at close and corrected when the invoice comes in.

Common estimation methods

MethodWhen it fitsExample
Contract or PO priceAgreed fees or unit prices, with quantity confirmed40 consulting hours delivered at a contracted $150 per hour = $6,000
Recurring fixed amountThe same charge every monthA $4,000 monthly retainer with no invoice yet
Historical averageVariable but steady costsUtilities averaging $2,300 over the last three months
Usage dataUsage-based pricingA cloud usage report shows $11,800 consumed through month end
Work completedProject or milestone workA contractor 60% through a $25,000 phase = $15,000
Vendor confirmationLarge or unusual itemsThe vendor sends an estimate of unbilled work

Choosing between methods

Direct evidence beats history. A receiving record, timesheet, or usage report for the actual period is stronger support than a trailing average, which can miss a price change or an unusually heavy month. When no direct evidence exists, use the most recent comparable invoice and note why.

After the invoice arrives

The accrual is usually reversed on the first day of the next period, and the invoice is recorded as normal. Any difference between the estimate and the invoice lands in the period the invoice is booked. Small differences are expected. Large, repeated ones mean the method for that vendor needs to change.

Best practices

  • Record the basis: Note the method and source with each accrual, so a reviewer or auditor can recompute it.
  • Set a materiality threshold: Costs below it are expensed when invoiced.
  • Compare estimates to actuals: Review last month's accruals against the invoices that followed.

Can Ramp Stack use a different method for each vendor?

Yes. Each vendor's method is part of the setup, and the agent applies it vendor by vendor at close.

The methods are written into a skill in Stack > Knowledge > Skills, such as a three-month average for utilities or contract rate times hours for consultants. The agent also needs the inputs each method calls for. Stack reads text and tables from PDFs, including scanned timesheets through OCR, and opens usage exports and other spreadsheets in .xlsx or .csv.

The agent calculates each estimate in a workbook, one line per vendor, showing the method used and the source behind the number. An accountant reviews the estimates, edits any that look off, and signs off before the entry goes to the ledger. The skill can also include a check of last month's accruals against the invoices that followed, so a vendor whose estimates keep missing gets a new method.

Related questions

How is a prepaid amortization schedule built?

List each prepaid with its amount and service dates, divide the cost over the months covered, and release that amount to expense each month.

Read more
When is a purchase capitalized as a fixed asset instead of expensed?

When it's tangible, used in operations, lasts more than a year, and costs more than the company's capitalization threshold. Otherwise it's expensed.

Read more
Which expenses get accrued at month-end close?

Costs incurred in the period with no invoice recorded yet, such as services received, wages earned, interest, and usage, once they clear the threshold.

Read more

Don’t miss key shifts in business spend.